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Robert A. PAPE, "The Strategic Logic of Suicide Terrorism"
Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, 5828 South University
Avenue, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637 (r-pape@uchicago.edu).
Abstract
Suicide terrorism is rising around the world, but the most common
explanations do not
help us understand why. Religious fanaticism does not explain
why the world leader in
suicide terrorism is the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka, a group that
adheres to a
Marxist/Leninist ideology, while existing psychological explanations
have been
contradicted by the widening range of socio-economic backgrounds
of suicide terrorists.
To advance our understanding of this growing phenomenon, this
study collects the
universe of suicide terrorist attacks worldwide from 1980 to
2001, 188 in all. In contrast
to the existing explanations, this study shows that suicide terrorism
follows a strategic
logic, one specifically designed to coerce modern liberal democracies
to make significant
territorial concessions. Moreover, over the past two decades,
suicide terrorism has been
rising largely because terrorists have learned that it pays.
Suicide terrorists sought to
compel American and French military forces to abandon Lebanon
in 1983, Israeli forces
to leave Lebanon in 1985, Israeli forces to quit the Gaza Strip
and the West Bank in
1994 and 1995, the Sri Lankan government to create an independent
Tamil state from
1990 on, and the Turkish government to grant autonomy to the
Kurds in the late 1990s.
In all but the case of Turkey, the terrorist political cause
made more gains after the
resort to suicide operations than it had before. Thus, Western
democracies should
pursue policies that teach terrorists that the lesson of the
1980s and 1990s no longer
holds, policies which in practice may have more to do with improving
homeland security
than with offensive military action. |