Huntingdon College: Political Science, Program | PSC 311 | PSC 305 | What's New?
Election Results, 2004.
As seen by Cindy Barnes Hayden, HC '99,
Republican counsel, US Senate Judiciary Committee.
Compiled for classes from excerpts of email, by Jeremy Lewis , revised on 5 Nov. '04.

  • Analysis
  • Maps Links
  • Breakdown of the popular vote by state
  • Purple states (flips)
  • Bush support improved even in Blue States




  • Analysis by Cindy:
          I’m still catching up on sleep from Nevada (pronounced Neva-T-a I learned) where I’ve been for the last week working
          for the RNC, but I am glowing from head to toes with the sweet victory of this week.  Nevada put us over the top of the 270 electoral
          votes needed!

          Highlights from my week included protesting the Clinton speech /rally in Las Vegas with my “Kerry Flip Flop” Tshirt on – it was
          Wendy, Brian, and I vs. the union goons; learning to play black jack without losing any money; and seeing Hulk Hogan and the guy
          from Extreme Makeover (they are doing a house in Las Vegas).

          Post election, though, I find I’m having a hard time remembering all the names and numbers myself, so I thought that friends and
          family could benefit from a “cheat sheet” of talkers.  Here is what Tuesday brought us:

          President Bush received 51% of the popular vote, the largest popular vote in history for a Presidential candidate.  How did Bush win
          the popular vote?  1)  Bush increased his % support from the 2000 election in every state except Vermont, where he lost a few points,
          and in Idaho and DC where it was constant with 2000 numbers.  He got higher support in Calif, NY, CT, RI, etc.; 2)  Only 1 state gave
          Bush less than 40% of the vote — Massachusetts.; 3)  14 states supported Bush with at least 60% of the vote.  A state-by-state
          comparison from 2000 to 2004 follows this email….

          Republicans now hold 231 (out of 435) seats in the House (a 14 seat majority) and 55 seats (out of 100 – 44 Democrats and 1
          Independent) in the Senate.  This majority sets or ties the previous high majorities since World War II.   This is the largest number of
          House seats Republicans have held since 1946 -- In 1994, Republicans picked up 52 seats to take back control after 4 decades in the
          minority, finding themselves controlling 230 seats in the House.

          Of the 7 open Senate seats, Republicans claimed victory in 5.  Republicans won in Florida (Mel Martinez, former HUD Secretary,
          defeated Betty Castor to win the seat of retiring Bob Graham); Georgia (Johnny Isakson defeated Denise Majette to succeed retiring
          Senator Zell Miller); Louisiana (David Vitter defeated two Democrat opponents and escaped a December runoff with 52% of the vote);
          South Carolina (Jim DeMint beat Superintendent of Education Inez Tenenbaum), and North Carolina (Richard Burr defeated former
          Clinton White House Chief of Staff Erskine Bowles).  Republicans also kept seats in Kentucky (Senator Jim Bunning) and in Alaska
          (Senator Lisa Murkowski) which were tight races.

          David Vitter will be the first Republican to represent Louisiana since Reconstruction.  It will also be the first time since Reconstruction
          that Georgia has been represented by two Republican Senators.

          Republicans also picked up 1 “non-open” seat by winning in South Dakota (John Thune defeating Senate Minority Leader Tom
          Daschle).  No sitting Senator lost their election except for Daschle.

          In the Senate, Democrats won 2 of the 7 open seats -- Illinois (Barack Obama defeating Alan Keyes) and Colorado (Attorney General
          Ken Salazar defeating beer mogul Pete Coors).  Ken Salazar’s brother also won a house seat in Colorado.

          What do the 2004 election numbers mean for 2006?  In the five elections since WWIII where a president has been in his 6th year, the
          party out of the oval office has picked up an average of 29 House seats and six Senate seats.  Republicans do not think that will be the
          average next time, but are comparing 2006 to the “third quarter in a football game when you go in already ahead.”  In 2006, 17
          Democrats and 15 Republican Senators will be up for reelection.  Of the Democrats, eight were first elected in 2000 and six will be older
          than 70 by 2006.  Of the Republicans, the only obvious places the Democrats may pick up a seat are in Tennessee and Mississippi,
          where Frist and Lott are expected to retire.




    MAPS LINKS:
        Here is the link  to the red / blue state map.  http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/results.htm

          Here is the link to the red / blue counties map – look how many are RED!!!!!!! This map really puts into perspective how small the “democrat” areas are in our country.  We love the heartland and the south!!!
    http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/countymap.htm

    Here is the breakdown of the popular vote:

    Alabama
    2000 -- 57/42
    2004 -- 63/37

    Alaska
    2000 -- 59/28/10
    2004 -- 62/35/2

    Arkansas
    2000 -- 51/45
    2004 -- 54/45

    Arizona
    2000 -- 51/45
    2004 -- 55/44

    Colorado
    2000 -- 51/42/5
    2004 -- 53/46

    Florida
    2000 -- 49/49
    2004 -- 52/47

    Georgia
    2000 -- 55/43
    2004 -- 59/41

    Idaho
    2000 -- 69/28
    2004 -- 68/30

    Indiana
    2000 -- 57/41
    2004 -- 60/39

    Kansas
    2000 -- 58/37
    2004 -- 62/37

    Kentucky
    2000 -- 57/41
    2004 -- 60/40

    Louisiana
    2000 -- 53/47
    2004 -- 57/42

    Mississippi
    2000 -- 57/42
    2004 -- 60/40

    Missouri
    2000 -- 51/47
    2004 -- 54/46

    Montana
    2000 -- 58/34
    2004 -- 59/39

    Nebraska
    2000 -- 63/33
    2004 -- 67/32

    Nevada
    2000 -- 49/46
    2004 -- 51/48

    North Carolina
    2000 -- 56/43
    2004 -- 56/44

    North Dakota
    2000 -- 61/33
    2004 -- 63/36

    Ohio
    2000 -- 50/46
    2004 -- 51/49

    Oklahoma
    2000 -- 60/38
    2004 -- 66/34

    South Carolina
    2000 -- 57/41
    2004 -- 58/41

    South Dakota
    2000 -- 60/38
    2004 -- 60/39

    Tennessee
    2000 -- 51/48
    2004 -- 57/43

    Texas
    2000 -- 59/38
    2004 -- 61/38

    Utah
    2000 -- 67/26/5
    2004 -- 71/27

    Virginia
    2000 -- 52/45
    2004 -- 54/45

    West Virginia
    2000 -- 52/46
    2004 -- 56/43

    Wyoming
    2000 -- 69/28
    2004 -- 69/29


    The Purple states (flips)
    Iowa
    2000 48/49
    2004 50/49

    New Hampshire
    2000 -- 48/47
    2004 -- 50/49

    New Mexico
    2000 -- 48/48
    2004 -- 50/49


    Bush support improved even in Blue States
    California
    2000 -- 42
    2004 -- 44

    Connecticut
    2000 -- 39
    2004 -- 44

    Delaware
    2000 -- 42
    2004 -- 46

    DC
    2000 -- 9
    2004 -- 9 (2000 more votes, though)

    Hawaii
    2000 -- 38
    2004 -- 45

    Illinois
    2000 -- 43
    2004 -- 45

    Maine
    2000 -- 44
    2004 -- 45

    Maryland
    2000 -- 40
    2004 -- 43

    Massachusetts
    2000 -- 33
    2004 -- 37

    Michigan
    2000 -- 47
    2004 -- 48

    Minnesota
    2000 -- 46
    2004 -- 48

    New Jersey
    2000 -- 41
    2004 -- 46

    New York
    2000 -- 35
    2004 -- 40

    Oregon
    2000 -- 47
    2004 -- 48

    Pennsylvania
    2000 -- 47
    2004 -- 49

    Rhode Island
    2000 -- 32
    2004 -- 39

    Vermont
    2000 -- 41
    2004 -- 39

    Washington
    2000 -- 45
    2004 -- 46

    Wisconsin
    2000 -- 48
    2004 -- 49